Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most likely to give the winner their 270th Electoral College vote. Use the table below to sort states by name, forecasted margin of victory or two different metrics of how much influence they have over the outcome.

Keep reading to find out why he thinks Vice President Kamala Harris will be the 2024 president-elect. Lichtman, a "Distinguished Professor" from the American University in Washington, D.C., is well-steeped in the world of academia. Sign-up for Your Vote: Text with the USA TODAY elections team.