Follow 538 for live updates on the uncalled races in the 2024 election, including who will control the U.S. House and how big the GOP's majority in the Senate will be.
The so-called "Nostradamus" of U.S. elections has admitted he was wrong after predicting Kamala Harris would win the keys to ...
According to 538's forecasts for the White House, U.S. Senate and U.S. House, control of the federal government is firmly up for grabs.
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Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecastToday 538 published our official forecast for the 2024 presidential election. The model builds on our general election polling averages by asking not just what our best guess is about who is ...
538's Galen Druke and The New York Times’s Ruth Igielnik discuss how important voters rank climate change, national security and the Middle East ahead of the election. The 538 team and The New ...
Will Donald Trump or Kamala Harris be the next president? Here is what polls, odds and historians say voters head to the ...
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Donald Trump Now Favored To Beat Joe Biden in 538 Election ForecastOn June 27, Biden and Trump are set to square off in Atlanta for the first of two scheduled debates ahead of the general election on November 5. Until then, 538 will rerun its forecast simulator ...
The stakes couldn’t be higher, with the election set to ripple across the U.S. economy, global trade, and geopolitics. Markets worldwide are bracing for at least 48 hours of white-knuckle suspense.
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